DAVID BERMAN
Eric Sprott certainly has good timing. News that the investment firm bearing his name, Sprott Asset Management Inc., plans to go public with a $200-million offering comes at a time when Mr. Sprott is in fine form, winning accolades for the returns he has delivered to investors over the years.
Those returns are stunning when compared with the benchmark index or his Canadian peers: His Sprott Canadian Equity Fund has returned an average of 28 per cent a year over the past 10 years, putting it at the top of its class. But the returns are downright eye-popping from an international perspective because of the truly vast number of funds he is up against in the rankings.
According to Morningstar Canada, the Sprott Canadian Equity Fund ranks No. 36 among 105,000 equity funds around the world in terms of its 10-year performance. What makes the ranking even more impressive, if you’re still shrugging your shoulders, is that most of the funds listed above his are specific funds targeting exceptionally hot areas of the market, such as emerging markets (Hello, India).
Mr. Sprott himself has often been criticized for taking a far too narrow approach to investing – he has focused his assets on specific sectors, most recently resources.
However, what makes him stand out among his global peers is that his mandate is not narrow: He chooses to invest in resources because that is where he sees the greatest source of returns. He is not beholden to them.
Global infatuation with emerging markets or resources may come and go, just as an infatuation with technology stocks came and went nearly a decade ago. Mutual fund investors who admire Mr. Sprott, and presumably equity investors who buy his firm’s shares after the initial public offering, see a far more long-lasting quality.
That is, until Mr. Sprott retires or his flagship fund hits a soft patch. Mr. Sprott is 63; over the past three months (to the end of February) his fund is up 12.4 per cent.
NOT DISCOUNTING ALCOA
Alcoa Inc. has made investors nervous about the first-quarter earnings season with its well-scrutinized miss. But analysts are upbeat about the aluminum producer.
Brian MacArthur, an analyst at UBS maintained a “buy” recommendation on the stock, with a 12-month target price of $52 (U.S.). Yes, Alcoa’s first-quarter earnings came in 54-per-cent lower than last year’s results, but Mr. MacArthur believes there is a lot of good news hidden behind the high-profile miss.
He noted that if you ignore restructuring and tax costs, earnings were 44 cents a share, bang-on his expectation. And, if you exclude the company’s packaging and consumer business, which was sold in the first quarter, Alcoa’s after-tax operating income grew by 42 per cent since the fourth quarter. The company also repurchased 14 million shares in the first quarter, which is a bullish sign.
That said, Mr. MacArthur reduced his 2008 share profit estimate to $3.70 from $3.83, partly to reflect higher costs.
John Redstone, an analyst at Desjardins Securities, is also maintaining a brave face on Alcoa, despite the fact that the company’s first-quarter earnings of 37 cents a share were nearly 40-per-cent lower than his own estimate. He maintained a “buy” recommendation on the stock, with a 12-month price target of $44.70.
He, too, prefers to strip out the costs associated with taxes and restructuring. He also added a currency adjustment of 6 cents a share to the results, which puts the first-quarter results within sight (but still below) his estimate.
Although he reduced his 2008 earnings estimate to $3 a share from $3.30, he believes 2009 earnings will still hit $4.47. Give the stock a 10-times earnings multiple and you get to his target price, which is about 20 per cent higher than Alcoa’s current price of $37.18 in New York.



